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  1. #1

    Question do you think AOTC will beat TPM in ticket sales?

    i think it will be AOTC hands down...i'm just speculating...

  2. #2
    Registered Eternal Padawan's Avatar
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    Aug 2001
    Outside SSG, banging on the window furiously, yelling "LET ME IN!"
    Phantom Menace was such a hooplah event that was being covered and over-covered by the media that everybody and their grandmother felt compelled to go out to the local cinema plex and see what all the hub bub was about. There hadn't been a Star Wars movie in 16 years (not counting SEs) and it was billed as a "must see extravaganza". Add to that all the die hard fans heading out to see it two, three, eighteen times boosted Episode 1's domestic gross to $430 million (Fact checkers correct me if I'm wrong.)

    Fast forward 3 years. The hooplah isn't as hyper and the bad taste Episode 1 left in everybodies mouth hasn't quite washed away, so there is a little more tripidation and not as much media spectacle involved. Even Lucasfilm has laid low in the Frito/pepsi/Tricon cross promotions and the ad campaign will be scaled back also. So unless AOTC can develop and Titanic-like repeat viewing sensation from it's romance angle (and early spy reports indicate the odds of this are 3,720 to 1) I suspect this one may clear $2-300 million if it's lucky. Still enough, I suspect, to walk away with highest grossing film of 2002, but nowhere near TPM levels.
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  3. #3
    TPM jumped to the number three spot of highest grossing movies of all time. Titanic is #1 with around $700 million, ANH has around $460 million and TPM grossed around $430 million.

    No small feat considering TPM was in theatres for all of 4 months, Titanic's grosses account for nearly 1.5 years of ticket sales and ANH didn't reach $400 million until after 3 re-releases and the Special Edition.

    However, EP is right, the hype generated by the media and promoters did significantly add to TPM's must-see status.

    I predict about $300 million for Ep2, and around $200-250 million for Ep3. I think the not so happy endings of Ep2 and 3 will significantly curb the ticket sales. In fact, GL himself expects Ep3 to make the least amount of money of all Star Wars films.
    "To be concerned about being grown up, to admire the grown up because it is grown up, to blush at the suspicion of being childish; these things are the marks of childhood and adolescence… When I became a man I put away childish things, including the fear of childishness and the desire to be very grown up." - C.S. Lewis

  4. #4
    I'm not sure about this one. TPM turned off the interest of Star Wars for a lot of people. Also TPM was the first SW film in a long time so that would probably factor in.

  5. #5
    I hope AotC's will be a better film than TPM but I'm not sure if it will be in the top three at the box office.
    The Force is strong with this one.

    Of course, that's my opinion I could be wrong.

  6. #6
    Let's wait and see as it gets closer to being released for hype. They may wait before they go nuts on the hype.

  7. #7
    I think it will not do as good as TPM but will be one of the best of that year.Every Star Wars fan will want to see it.
    "I have a bad feeling about this".

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  8. #8
    Part of what made Star Wars such a ticket-taker at it's original release was that, at that time, you couldn't wait 3 months and then buy it to watch at home whenever you want, if you wanted to see it, you had to go and experience it in a theater (technically, there were some home systems, but they weren't big). By the time ESB came out, video rental had just started and cable was picking up users, so the home market was growing. I think that the threat of a movie NOT coming out on video right away would probably help it at the box office, but we ALL know that Lucas will release Ep 2 on tape a few months after release, so that'll hurt Ep 2 (as it probably did with Ep 1, can you imagine if Lucas had said "I won't be releasing this movie on the home market till Ep 3 comes out!"?).

    That said, I think in tickets, Ep 2 probably won't beat Ep 1, but in dollars, it may actually pull it off thanks to higher ticket prices.
    Darth Vader is becoming the Mickey Mouse of Star Wars.

    "In Brooklyn, a castle, is where dwell I"
    The use of a lightsaber does not make one a Jedi, it is the ability to not use it.

  9. #9


    Still one thing will remain the same, Star Wars is best experienced at the theater.
    The Force is strong with this one.

    Of course, that's my opinion I could be wrong.

  10. #10
    ABSOLUTELY! This is why I really want LFL to release a few prints of the trilogy to circle the globe, have special ANH, ESB, and ROTJ weekends in each town! So one town will have ANH one weekend and then that print will move on to the next town, and the next weekend, ESB will show up in the first town while ANH plays in the next town, and so on and so forth.
    Darth Vader is becoming the Mickey Mouse of Star Wars.

    "In Brooklyn, a castle, is where dwell I"
    The use of a lightsaber does not make one a Jedi, it is the ability to not use it.


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